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Sunday, September 29, 2024

Decline in Officially Reported Cases in Most Age Groups Consistent with Sharp Drop in PCR Testing and Greater Reliance on At-Home Rapid Testing

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COVID-19 Update: Omicron XBB.1.5 Variant Rapidly Spreading in US | Pexels

COVID-19 Update: Omicron XBB.1.5 Variant Rapidly Spreading in US | Pexels

From February 3,  2023 post.

Reported case incidence rates decreased sharply for nearly all age groups in January 2023 compared to the preceding several months. Reported incidence in county seniors strongly declined on a monthly basis for the first time since mid-2022. No COVID-19 cases in county residents under age 20 years were officially reported by NMDOH during January 2023 (through the 27th). However, January cases were reported by the Los Alamos Public School District among elementary/middle school students and staff at a level consistent with that seen in prior months, clearly indicating on-going transmission among county youth - a finding consistent with on-going low level detection of virus in county wastewater.   CDC testing data indicate that 7-day average daily PCR testing decreased by roughly 4-fold in the county from mid-December going into January 2023. Sustained PCR testing at this very low level will render official statistics difficult to interpret and force greater reliance on other measures, such as wastewater surveillance, to monitor trends in county transmission.  

Original source can be found here.

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